Not just technical analysis, the most important thing is "Money-how much do you have".
The price of NXT will rise up as fast as a skyrocket when the Fools sold out all their coins.
The NXT market is too small, so that people can control the price very easily. They can make the price down for a while.
But for long term, they must be the losers, as they don't know when will NXT be a skyrocket.
And finally they need to buy NXT coins on the "Mars".
Just curious, as you listed your credentials, what your opinion is of evidence of market manipulation to INFLATE the valuation of NXT? I mean as an analyst you should be able to recognize the Buy walls that were thrown up in larger proportion to the Sell walls.
The best merit I can take from your posts is that you acknowledge that since the trading exchange pool is so small that it is easy for large NXT holders to manipulate. This is a legitimate problem and should raise red flags about a currency to an analyst. Moreover, while I agree NXT will explode in value IF even half of what BCnext has in mind works; any analyst worth his salt would not make such sweeping value predictions when the actual product has not been released yet and not even the source code has been released for review.
I am sorry, I am a firm believer in NXT's potential as well, but even so I cannot make such sweeping claims as you have and claim professional objectivity, it would merely be my opinion based on faith in NXT and BCnext's vision/genius.
I hope time proves you right however.